New Yorker – George Packer asks can the Burmese people rescue themselves and can the junta be circumvented?
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Category Archives: Geopolitics
Geopolitics / Burma – Lifting the Bamboo Curtain
The Atlantic – Robert Kaplan writes that as China and India vie for power and influence, Burma has become a strategic battleground. Four Americans with deep ties to this fractured, resource-rich country illuminate its current troubles, and what the U.S. should do to shape its future.
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Geopolitics / Georgia – Putin Makes His Move
Washington Post – Robert Kagan succinctly places the Russian – Georgian War in proper perspective???
Daily Telegraph – Vladimir Putin sends emphatic message of global importance: Russia’s pounding of Georgia means it will use force to protect all 25 million Russians in states that belonged to the Soviet Union
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Geopolitics / China – China's war on nature
Financial Times – Niall Ferguson looks at the current state of China today and the challenges it faces.
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Geopolitics – The Future of American Power: How America Can Survive the Rise of the Rest
Foreign Affairs – Fareed Zakaria writes that despite some eerie parallels between the position of the United States today and that of the British Empire a century ago, there are key differences. Britain’s decline was driven by bad economics. The United States, in contrast, has the strength and dynamism to continue shaping the world — but only if it can overcome its political dysfunction and reorient U.S. policy for a world defined by the rise of other powers.
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Geopolitics / Sudan – Beyond Darfur: Sudan's Slide Toward Civil War
Foreign Affairs – While the crisis in Darfur simmers, the larger problem of Sudan’s survival as a state is becoming increasingly urgent. Old tensions between the Arabs of the Nile River valley, who have held power for a century, and marginalized groups on the country’s periphery are turning into a national crisis. Engagement with Khartoum may be the only way to avert another civil war in Sudan, and even that may not be enough.
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Geopolitics – The Age of Nonpolarity: What Will Follow U.S. Dominance
Foreign Affairs – The United States’ unipolar moment is over. International relations in the twenty-first century will be defined by nonpolarity. Power will be diffuse rather than concentrated, and the decline as that of nonstate actors increases. But this is not all bad news for the United States; Washington can still manage the transition and make the world a safer place.
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Geopolitics / Venezuela – An Empty Revolution: The Unfulfilled Promises of Hugo Ch-vez
Foreign Affairs – Even critics of Hugo Ch·vez tend to concede that he has made helping the poor his top priority. But in fact, Ch·vez’s government has not done any more to fight poverty than past Venezuelan governments, and his much-heralded social programs have had little effect. A close look at the evidence reveals just how much Ch·vez’s “revolution” has hurt Venezuela’s economy — and that the poor are hurting most of all.
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Geopolitics / Asia – Robert Kaplan on the new balance of power
Spero – An essay summarizing Robert Kaplan’s keynote address at Foreign Policy Research Instituteís Fourth Annual Partners Brunch.
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Geopolitics – War Plans
New York Times – Niall Ferguson review’s Philip Bobbitt’s new book, entitled “The Wars for the Twenty-First Century.”
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Geopolitics / India – Oh! Kolkata!
The Atlantic – Robert Kaplan writes that Calcutta has been renamed. Now, with investment on the rise, tech companies moving in, and a growing middle class, can it be reborn?
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Geopolitics / Nationalism – Us and Them: The Enduring Power of Ethnic Nationalism
Foreign Affairs – Americans generally belittle the role of ethnic nationalism in politics. But in fact, it corresponds to some enduring propensities of the human spirit, it is galvanized by modernization, and in one form or another, it will drive global politics for generations to come. Once ethnic nationalism has captured the imagination of groups in a multiethnic society, ethnic disaggregation or partition is often the least bad answer.
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Geopolitics / Arctic – Arctic Meltdown: The Economic and Security Implications of Global Warming
Foreign Affairs – Thanks to global warming, the Arctic icecap is rapidly melting, opening up access to massive natural resources and creating shipping shortcuts that could save billions of dollars a year. But there are currently no clear rules governing this economically and strategically vital region. Unless Washington leads the way toward a multilateral diplomatic solution, the Arctic could descend into armed conflict.
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Geopolitics / NATO – Equal alliance, unequal roles
New York Times – Robert Kaplan on the future of NATO.
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Geopolitics / Resiliency – America the Resilient: Defying Terrorism and Mitigating Natural Disasters
Foreign Affairs – A climate of fear and a sense of powerlessness caused by the threats of terrorism and natural disasters are undermining American ideals and fueling political demagoguery. Rebuilding the resilience of American society is the way to reverse this and respond to today’s challenges.
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Geopolitics / Bangladesh – Waterworld
The Atlantic – Robert Kaplan writes that with rising Islamic fundamentalism, weak government, and not enough dry land for its 150 million people, Bangladesh could use a break. Instead, it must face the catastrophic threat of climate change.
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Geopolitics / China – The $1.4 Trillion Question
The Atlantic – James Fallows writes that the Chinese are subsidizing the American way of life. Are we playing them for suckers – or are they playing us?
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Geopolitics / China – The Rise of China and the Future of the West: Can the Liberal System Survive?
Foreign Affairs – China’s rise will inevitably bring the United States’ unipolar moment to an end. But that does not necessarily mean a violent power struggle or the overthrow of the Western system. The U.S.-led international order can remain dominant even while integrating a more powerful China — but only if Washington sets about strengthening that liberal order now.
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Geopolitics – Waving Goodbye to Hegemony
New York Times Magazine – Just a few years ago, Americaís hold on global power seemed unshakable. But a lot has changed while weíve been in Iraq ó and the next president is going to be dealing with not only a triumphant China and a retooled Europe but also the quiet rise of a ë”second world.”
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Geopolitics / Democracy – Slow But Sure
Financial Times – Niall Ferguson writes: Has the democratic wave broken? Is the tide of political freedom now ebbing after the spectacular flow that began in 1989? Recent events on nearly every continent certainly give real cause for concern to those who dream of a world governed by the ballot box rather than the bullet. But they may also provide an overdue opportunity to think more realistically about the way the process of democratisation works.
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Geopolitics / Russia – The Myth of the Authoritarian Model: How Putin's Crackdown Holds Russia Back
Foreign Affairs – A growing conventional wisdom holds that Vladimir Putin’s attack on democracy has brought Russia stability and prosperity — providing a new model of successful market authoritarianism. But the correlation between autocracy and economic growth is spurious. Autocracy’s effects in Russia have in fact been negative. Whatever the gains under Putin, they would have been greater under a democratic regime.
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Geopolitics / Iran – The Costs of Containing Iran
Foreign Affair – The Bush administration wants to contain Iran by rallying the support of Sunni Arab states and now sees Iran’s containment as the heart of its Middle East policy: a way to stabilize Iraq, declaw Hezbollah, and restart the Arab-Israeli peace process. But the strategy is unsound and impractical, and it will probably further destabilize an already volatile region.
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Geopolitics / Pakistan – Next-Gen Taliban
New York Times Magazine – Pakistanís younger Islamic militants are bringing the jihad waged in Afghanistan back home: breaking with senior mullahs, renouncing elections and killing police officers, soldiers and, perhaps, Benazir Bhutto.
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Geopolitics / China – Long Time Coming: The Prospects for Democracy in China
Foreign Affairs – Is China democratizing? The country’s leaders do not think of democracy as people in the West generally do, but they are increasingly backing local elections, judicial independence, and oversight of Chinese Communist Party officials. How far China’s liberalization will ultimately go and what Chinese politics will look like when it stops are open questions.
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Geopolitics / Long War – Recasting the Long War as a Joint Sino-American Venture
Baker Center Journal of Applied Public Policy – Thomas P.M. Barnett writes that the way forward in the Long War is with the Chinese:
In this so-called long war against the global jihadist movement, the Bush administrationís greatest failure has been its lack of strategic imagination. It has added the right enemies to our to-do list, but failed to enlist the necessary new allies, giving our people the misperception that itís America against the world.
This need not be the case. Our natural allies are now located on the frontiers of globalization, or among the three billion-plus new capitalists who joined global markets over the last generation, chiefly among them the Chinese.
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