Geopolitics / Europe – Transatlantic Tension and Threat Perception

Naval War College Review – Because of profoundly different understandings about both the nature and responsibility of federal authority, Washington and European capitals are talking past each other. The answer to the question, ìWhat are the threats to domestic security for which the federal authority is responsible?î sounds very different on opposite sides of the Atlantic.

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Geopolitics / Iraq – How to Win in Iraq

Foreign Affairs – An insightful essay by Andrew Krepinevich. Because they lack a coherent strategy, U.S. forces in Iraq have failed to defeat the insurgency or improve security. Winning will require a new approach to counterinsurgency, one that focuses on providing security to Iraqis rather than hunting down insurgents. And it will take at least a decade.

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Geopolitics / China – China's Search for Stability With America

Foreign Affairs – No country can affect China’s fortunes more directly than the United States. Many potential flashpoints — such as Taiwan, Japan, and North Korea — remain, and true friendship between Washington and Beijing is unlikely. But their interests have grown so intertwined that cooperation is the best way to serve both countries.

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Geopolitics / Southeast Asia – The Growing Prospects for Maritime Security Cooperation in Southeast Asia

Naval War College Review – Southeast Asia has responded to the maritime dangers that in the 1990s replaced Cold War rivalries, and the terrorist threat that has more recently stepped to the forefront, producing an unprecedented degree of “operationalized” interstate cooperation. Fundamental obstacles remain, but the underlying dynamics are promising.

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Geopolitics / Taiwan – Taiwan : Melos or Pylos?

Naval War College Review – If taken to heart, lessons of the Peloponnesian War could help clarify thinkingóand dispel dangerous illusionsóin Taipei, Beijing, and Washington. The island of Melos learned the futility of unsupported resistance against overwhelming factors of force and geography; the Athenians and Spartans learned at Pylos expensive lessons about the difficulties of island campaigning and about the unpredictability of warfare as a policy.

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Geopolitics – When Is Coercion Successful? And Why Can't We Agree on It?

Naval War College Review – The scholarly controversy over coercion by states-military, diplomatic, and economic-does more than complicate academic arguments; it has consequences for policy. It might become a more effective instrument than it has so far proved if the theoretical community can reach consensus as to what it is, how it can be effectively applied, and what constitutes success.
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Geopolitics / Disease – Preparing for the Next Pandemic

Foreign Affairs – If an influenza pandemic struck today, borders would close, the global economy would shut down, international vaccine supplies and health-care systems would be overwhelmed, and panic would reign. To limit the fallout, the industrialized world must create a detailed response strategy involving the public and private sectors.

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Geopolitics – Regime Change and Its Limits

Foreign Affairs – So far, the Bush administration has shown it would like to resolve its problems with North Korea and Iran the same way it did with Iraq: through regime change. It is easy to see why. But the strategy is unlikely to work, at least not quickly enough. A much broader approach — involving talks, sanctions, and the threat of force — is needed.

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Geopolitics / Terrorism – Terrorism and the New Security Dilemma

Naval War College Review – The reliability of interstate balances of power is declining; the capacity of the ìstates systemî to provide security is deteriorating; the state itself is coming under increasing centrifugal pressure from both outside and inside, from above and from below; and the reshaping of the wider political environment in reaction to complex globalization remains rudimentary and uneven. We can expect substate and cross-border destabilization and violence, including but certainly not confined to terrorism, to become increasingly endemic.

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Geopolitics / United Nations – "In Larger Freedom:" Decision Time at the UN

Foreign Affairs – Kofi Annan says dealing with today’s threats requires broad, deep, and sustained global cooperation. Thus the states of the world must create a collective security system to prevent terrorism, strengthen nonproliferation, and bring peace to war-torn areas, while also promoting human rights, democracy, and development. And the UN must go through its most radical overhaul yet.

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