Pacific Military Balance Tilting in China’s Favor, Says New Defense of Japan Report

USNI News – Officials in Tokyo released their Defense of Japan 2025 white paper this week with findings the international community is facing its greatest risk of conflict since World War II. The paper pointed to Russia, China and North Korea as primary regional security threats. The report also found U.S. U.S.-China strategic competition has been escalating and that the military balance between China and Taiwan has been rapidly tilting in China’s favor.

Japan’s ARDB Combat Landing Battalion: An interview with its Commander

Naval News – Since the 2010s, Japan has been compelled to respond to China’s maritime expansion and military buildup. A particularly critical issue has been how to defend Japan’s remote islands and key island chains in the East China Sea, commonly known as the Nansei Islands. To address this challenge, the Amphibious Rapid Deployment Brigade (ARDB), a specialized force for initial defense operations, was established in March 2018.

A War of Chokepoints: Mavulis Island in a Future Taiwan War Scenario

Modern War Institute – Amid the strategic competition and simmering tensions in the Indo-Pacific region between the United States and China, Japan has worked to boost its military capability on Yonaguni Island, the westernmost island of Okinawa. This is a sensible move given the island’s strategic importance and proximity to both Taiwan and China. The Japan Self-Defense Forces established a military base and radar station in 2016 with approximately 160 troops to monitor airspace and waterways. Plans are also in place to deploy a missile unit to the island.

MSDF to deploy U.S.-made SeaGuardian surveillance drones

Japan Times – The Defense Ministry has said that it will deploy U.S.-made drones for the warning and surveillance activities of the Maritime Self-Defense Force. Aiming to strengthen surveillance in waters including the East China Sea, the ministry said Friday it plans to procure a total of 23 SeaGuardian drones over the next 10 years or so.

Japan Expands Carrier Capabilities With F-35B, Drones Could Be Next

The War Zone – U.S. Marine Corps F-35B stealth fighter has for the first time operated aboard Japan’s biggest in-service warship, the Izumo class ‘multifunctional destroyer’ Kaga. We have previously reported on the significant modifications made to this ship to ensure it can operate the short takeoff and vertical landing (STOVL) jets, which Japan is also acquiring. At the same time, there are signs that Japan may also be looking to expand the fixed-wing capabilities of this class of vessel, including drones and potentially other crewed platforms.

Part 2: In Defense of Conventional Punishment: Why Japan’s Defensive Realism Requires Offensive Capability

Center for Maritime Strategy – Japan’s shift toward acquiring offensive capabilities is a necessary response to the increasingly complex security environment in the Indo-Pacific. The blurred distinction between offensive and defensive capabilities, particularly in naval warfare, makes it crucial for Japan to enhance its deterrence posture. Restricting Japan’s military to purely defensive measures ignores strategic realities and risks undermining its security. To safeguard both Japanese and broader regional security, Tokyo must prioritize acquiring offensive capabilities that pave the way for effective deterrence by denial and punishment in the long term. 

Russian Pacific Fleet Redux: Japan’s North as a New Center of Gravity

War on the Rocks – The fact that Japan is a neighbor of Russia is often overlooked, especially in the West. In fact, Japan has had no land border with Russia for 79 years. But Japan has always faced Russia across the Sea of Japan and the Sea of Okhotsk, and until 35 years ago was at the forefront of the Cold War in Asia. Now, as the geopolitical conflict between Russia and the West reemerges, Japan is once again on the front line.

Japan Joins European Efforts For Railgun Research Project

Naval News – The French-German Research Institute of Saint-Louis (ISL) in charge of research and development for railgun technology has seen mid-April the visit of an ATLA delegation – Japanese Acquisition, Technology and Logistics Agency – paving the way for an agreement for further cooperation on electromagnetic gun technology.

In Defense of Conventional Punishment: Why Japan’s Defensive Realism Requires Offensive Capability ​ – Part 1

Center for Maritime Strategy –  Japan must recognize that purely defensive technologies are insufficient to ensure its own security and uphold the rules-based regional order. To credibly deter revisionist powers armed with offensive capabilities, Japan must move beyond the flawed mindset that draws a sharp distinction between offensive defense and defensive defense and strategically shift towards the acquisition of counterstrike capabilities that can impose significant costs on potential aggressors. 

Japan’s Submarine Industrial Base and Infrastructure – Unique and Stable

CIMSEC – The Japan Maritime Self Defense Force (JMSDF) possesses a modern and highly capable fleet, including light carriers, large AEGIS destroyers, and advanced conventional submarines which are renowned for their size and stealth. While individual Japanese naval vessels and their crews are certainly world class, Japan’s unique approach to naval industrial base strategy is often underappreciated, especially its submarine industrial base. This approach relies on three deliberate policy pillars.