China Maritime Report No. 10: PLAN Force Structure Projection Concept, A Methodology for Looking Down Range

China Maritime Studies Institute – Force structure projections of an adversary’s potential order of battle are an essential input into the strategic planning process. Currently, the majority of predictions regarding China’s future naval buildup are based on a simple extrapolation of the impressive historical ship construction rate and shipyard capacity, without acknowledging that the political and economic situation in China has changed dramatically.