U.S. and China Will Likely Go To War in the Next 30 Years: James Fanell

Epoch Times – James Fanell, Former intelligence chief of the U.S. pacific fleet challenges the conventional wisdom that the U.S. military is unsurpassed by any force on this planet. While acknowledging that the Chinese military has strategic vulnerabilities, he warns that the U.S. might go to war with China over Taiwan in the next 30 years not adequately prepared and not confident to win.

China’s most advanced destroyer the Nanchang formally enters service in ‘leap forward’ for navy

South China Morning Post – Ship is the first Type 055 guided missile destroyer to be commissioned into the PLA Navy and is one of the most advanced warships of its type in the world.

China to stop building Type 056 corvettes as navy shifts focus to larger vessels

South China Morning Post – The PLA Navy has started ordering bigger warships as it starts to prepare for missions further away from its shoreline.

War In The Taiwan Strait Is Not Unthinkable: Some Will Lose More Than Others

Journal of Political Risk – Whether anyone actually ‘wins’ a war is a philosophical debate. The Germans and Japanese in 1945 might have thought wars do indeed have winners. But perhaps it’s better said that in most conflicts some parties ‘lose more than others.’ Such would be the case if Beijing attempted to militarily subjugate Taiwan.

Why are Chinese fishermen finding so many ‘submarine spies’?

BBC – At first it seems like a quirky, what-are-the-chances-of-that headline: “China rewards fishers who netted foreign spy devices.”

China starts work on US$97 million, 10,700 tonne civilian patrol vessel – its biggest ever

South China Morning Post – With tensions between Beijing and its neighbours riding high over territorial claims in the South China Sea, a Chinese shipyard has begun work on what will be the largest offshore patrol vessel in the nation’s civilian fleet.

China nuclear missile development steps up a gear with test of weapon capable of hitting US mainland

South China Morning Post – China has moved to speed up development of its most advanced submarine-launched nuclear missile, a weapon capable of striking the US mainland.

The Conventional Wisdom on China’s Island Bases is Dangerously Wrong

War on the Rocks – Couldn’t the United States easily neutralize China’s remote outposts in the South China Sea in a conflict, negating their value? The assumption is understandable given how seemingly remote the facilities are and how accustomed Americans have become to uncontested dominance over the sea and air. But it is flawed.

If A Chinese-American War Happens, It Will Start In The South China Sea

National Interest – James Fanell writes that China has been preparing for just that fight.

Does China Really Need Aircraft Carriers?

National Interest – In home water, no. Far away, for sure. One of the world’s top naval experts explains.

China Launched The 24th Type 052D, 6th Type 055 & 71st Type 056 Vessels For PLAN

Naval News – The Chinese naval shipbuilding industry maintained its impressive production rate in 2019. In the past week alone, no less than 3 destroyers and a corvette were launched by various yards.

(Thanks to Alain)

Pilot shortages could ground China’s plans to develop combat-ready carrier fleet

South China Morning Post – The country’s second aircraft carrier, the Shandong, officially entered service this month, but bottlenecks in training could hamper the navy’s effectiveness.

China Maritime Report No. 4: Civil Transport in PLA Power Projection

China Maritime Studies Institute – The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has ambitious goals for its power projection capabilities. Aside from preparing for the possibility of using force to resolve Beijing’s territorial claims in East Asia, it is also charged with protecting China’s expanding “overseas interests.” These national objectives require the PLA to be able to project significant combat power beyond China’s borders. To meet these needs, the PLA is building organic logistics support capabilities such as large naval auxiliaries and transport aircraft. But it is also turning to civilian enterprises to supply its transportation needs.

Why a New Missile Arms Race with China Might Not Be Worth the Cost

National Interest – As a new generation of “whiz-kids” takes up the challenge in the post-INF world of confronting Beijing in the Western Pacific, the Chinese are busy assessing possible countermeasures.

China’s 10,000 ton-class destroyer equipped with long-range land-attack missiles

Global Times – China’s latest 10,000 ton-class guided missile destroyer, the Type 055, is capable of launching long-range land-attack cruise missiles.

Advanced supply ship conducts carrier group supplement mission

Global Times – China’s latest domestically developed comprehensive supply ship conducted its first aircraft carrier battle group supplement mission during a high sea exercise, prompting experts to say that Chinese aircraft carriers are ready to sail farther into deep blue waters.

China’s third aircraft carrier in 2 years

Global Times – China’s third aircraft carrier could be launched within the next two years, be combat ready by 2025 and feature an electromagnetic catapult and stealth fighter jets, a professional Chinese military magazine predicted.

What planes will be on board China’s second aircraft carrier, the Shandong?

South China Morning Post – The first home-built Chinese carrier will deploy a range of aircraft from J-15 ‘Flying Shark’ fighter planes to anti-submarine ‘Sea Eagle’ helicopters.

What’s in a name? A history lesson in the case of China’s new aircraft carrier the Shandong

South China Morning Post – Warship is named after the province where it will be based, but it also carries a message aimed at reminding the PLA Navy to learn from past humiliations

The latest Chinese aircraft carrier “Shandong” at sea

BMPD – Beautiful images and video of the Shandong conducting flight operations. (In Russian)

(Thanks to Alain)

Aerial early warning, reconnaissance training boosts PLA Navy’s capability in S. China Sea

Global Times – A naval aviation division of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Southern Theater Command wrapped up an aerial early warning and reconnaissance training exercise recently, which experts said will boost China’s defense capability in the South China Sea as US warships and aircraft have trespassed frequently into Chinese territorial waters and airspace.

Report to Congress on Chinese Naval Modernization

Congressional Research Service – The following is the Dec. 20, 2019 Congressional Research Service, China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress.

Why China Wants Its Navy to Patrol the Atlantic Ocean

National Interest – Is this a problem for Washington?

Is China Planning To Incite A “People’s War” To Dominate The South China Sea?

National Interest – This is not Mao’s China, but…