The Spectacular & Public Collapse of Navy Force Planning

Breaking Defense – Planning for a 21st century Navy of unmanned vessels, distributed operations, and great power competition has collapsed. Trapped by a 355-ship force goal, a reduced budget, and a fixed counting methodology, the Navy can’t find a feasible solution to the difficult question of how its forces should be structured. As a result, the Navy postponed announcement of its new force structure assessment (FSA) from January to “the spring.” That means the navy will not be able to influence the 2021 budget year much, forfeiting a major opportunity to reshape the fleet and bring it in line with the national defense strategy.

Down to the Sea in USVs

CIMSEC – Norman Polmar and Scott Truver write that a family of large, medium, and small USVs will take advantage of new technologies – some only dimly perceived in early 2020 – to provide increased capabilities to the Fleet with reduced construction, maintenance, and manpower. Getting there from today’s fiscal environment is critically important, and there is still much work to do to increase trust and develop CONOPs, but the potential for these unmanned vehicles to transform the future Navy is astounding.

Is 2020 Really 1940 for the U.S. Navy?

National Interest – To a degree, anyway. Back then naval grandees, administration officials, and lawmakers discerned grave dangers gathering along the Western European and East Asian rimlands and resolved to rebuild American military might to manage them. Today naval grandees, administration officials, and lawmakers discern grave dangers gathering along the East Asian rimland and are saying the right things about rebuilding American maritime might to manage them.

Expeditionary Hogs and Blue Water Bones

USNI Blog – While the composition of the surface combatant force is frequently discussed, the composition of Marine air wings and land-based Navy platforms remains relatively unexamined. This is partly due to the success of the P-8A and the tri-service initial operating capability of F-35s. However, both Marine Corps air wings and Navy Tactical Air have glaring capability holes, which could be filled by repurposing Air Force platforms. The U.S. Navy should acquire B-1s and Marine Corps A-10s. This acquisition is both tactically and operationally advantageous, is fiscally sound, and logistically achievable in the near term.