CIMSEC – The first step in this analysis will be to analyze a traditional concentrated force versus another concentrated force using the salvo equations. The second step will be to look at a distributed force that is able to mass fires against a concentrated force. The final step will be to look at a concentrated force that engages part of a distributed force. We will also look at what “firing effectively first” means in practice, and what happens if the enemy force distributes.
Author Archives: Naval Open Source Intelligence (NOSI)
Why has the Royal Navy decommissioned 6 ships in a year?
Navy Lookout – In the last 12 months, a significant number of Royal Navy vessels have been retired. Funding shortfalls play a part but the situation is more complex than just cuts to save money. Here we look at the reasoning, the risks involved and the plans to replace the capabilities of these ships.
Russia Repels Ukraine’s Drone Attack On Sevastopol
Naval News – According to several reports and footage circulating on social media, Ukraine has launched a new drone attack on the Sevastopol naval base of the Russian Black Sea Fleet yesterday. Unmanned aircraft (UAV) and unmanned surface vessels (USV) were reportedly used in the attack.
Russia Close to Persistent Nuclear Cruise Missile Attack Sub Presence off U.S. Coasts
USNI News – Russia could have its most powerful and quiet nuclear attack submarines on persistent patrols off either U.S. Coast in the next two years, the head of U.S. Northern Command told the Senate Armed Services Committee on Thursday.
North Korea Unveils New ‘Haeil’ Suicide Underwater Drone
Naval News – North Korea’s state media KCNA released photos of a new suicide AUV Autonomous Underwater Vehicle named 해일 (Haeil: meaning Tsunami in English) taken during an exercise that took place between March 21st through 23rd, suggesting that their new suicide drones are capable of carrying nuclear warheads.
US Navy pitches short, readiness-focused budget wish list to Congress
Defense News – The U.S. Navy released a short wish list to Congress that would mostly accelerate efforts to make the fleet more ready and more lethal for high-end combat in a contested environment.
The Marine Corps Needs to Modernize its Targeting Cycle – Here’s How
Modern War Institute – When the Marine Corps maximizes SIGINT and EW’s support to targeting, codifying these capabilities’ role in operations, innovating new procedures, and teaching electromagnetic-enabled targeting even at entry-level artillery courses—it will demonstrate that it has learned a vital lesson from the wars in Nagorno-Karabakh and Ukraine.
China’s Lessons From the Pacific War and Implications for Future Warfighting
CIMSEC – Chinese lessons from the Pacific War offer policymakers valuable insights about the PLA’s thinking and strategy.
The Compelling Case For The AH-1 Cobra In A Fight With China
War Zone – While the relevance of the Marines’ AH-1Zs and UH-1Ys is being questioned, one top Marine is revamping their playbook to prove otherwise.
Marine Corps rethinks the foundations of how it does logistics
Breaking Defense – The new document, the first update since 1997, says Russia’s failure to establish competent logistics have been a “major factor” to why it has failed to achieve its objectives in Ukraine.
New Zealand To Field Mark 54 Torpedoes Aboard P-8A Poseidon
Naval News – New Zealand’s second P-8A Poseidon arrived home on March 20th. Meanwhile the New Zealand Ministry of Defence confirmed MK 54 Torpedoes are included in the P-8A Poseidon purchase.
Marines ask for amphibious warship in unfunded priorities list
Defense News – The U.S. Marine Corps is asking lawmakers to compel the Navy to keep building amphibious warships, as the sea service wants to truncate San Antonio-class amphibious transport dock production and take a “strategic pause” to reconsider future amphib ships.
Canadian government noncommittal on new submarines as allies push forward with nuclear fleet plans
National Post – Military commanders and experts say subs are critical to defending Canada, including in the Arctic, as Russia and China build up their own underwater fleets.
(Thanks to Alain)
Why the US Navy’s budget plan creates uncertainty for shipbuilders
Defense News – Dualities are emerging in the U.S. Navy’s shipbuilding plans, leaving industry to wonder what to make of the sea service’s near-term spending plans.
Netherlands Will Hand Over MCM Vessels To Ukraine
Naval News – During a visit to Odessa and Mykolajiv, Dutch Defense Minister Kaisa Ollongren announced that the Netherlands will donate Alkmaar-class mine countermeasure vessels to Ukraine.
Joint Concept For Competing: The Best Way For The Pentagon To ‘Compete’ With China?
1945 – Last month the Joint Chiefs of Staff published a directive entitled Joint Concept for Competing, aimed at defining strategic competition and explaining how the U.S. armed forces will go about it. But because the concept’s framers define it as “adversary agnostic,” it’s hard to judge how commanders and their political masters will put it into effect at particular places and times.
For the Sake of Ceremony: Should the US Navy Continue Its Airborne Forward Air Controller Program?
War on the Rocks – The current trajectory of the forward air control program indicates declining relevance due to neglect, changing operational paradigms, and preservation for the sake of tradition. Naval aviation’s commitment to this mission and alignment with previous tenets are atrophying, and the program’s future is at a crossroads.
Fighting DMO, Part 5: Missile Salvo Patterns and Maximizing Volume of Fire
CIMSEC – There is more to the lethality of a volume of fire than sheer numbers. Missile salvos can take on different patterns, both in how the missiles are arranged within a single salvo, and how multiple salvos can be arranged together into a combined volume of fire. These patterns reflect how the aspects of concentration and distribution apply to the weapons themselves, and how these configurations apply within salvos and between salvos. Different patterns will affect how a volume of fire takes shape and can multiply the threat it poses. Commanders and autonomous missiles can leverage these patterns to increase tactical advantage by changing how salvos are maneuvered throughout key elements of the fight. These patterns have considerable tactical implications for defending against missiles and maximizing offensive volume of fire.
The tiny Philippine island on the frontline of the US-China battle for supremacy
The Guardian – Years ago, Fuga Island was set to host a Chinese ‘smart city’. Now it may become home to American troops as the US seeks to protect Taiwan and the region.
Marine littoral regiment fends off traditional regiment in exercise
Marine Corps Times – The 3rd Marine Littoral Regiment — the first unit of its kind — isn’t set to reach initial operational capability until the fall. But a recent exercise, in which the 3rd MLR helped prevent a more traditional force from claiming terrain, demonstrated that it’s already an effective unit.
Marines accelerate Force Design transformation in FY24 budget request
Defense News – The U.S. Marine Corps is asking for money in fiscal 2024 to speed up its forcewide modernization effort as it tries to rapidly field new weapons, sensors and data processors.
First wave of tech to defend Guam from newer threats due in 2024
Defense News – The first wave of defenses designed to counter complex missile threats against Guam will include radars, launchers, interceptors, and a command-and-control system, and they’ll be place on the island next year, the U.S. Missile Defense Agency director said this week.
Navy will extend service life of destroyer Arleigh Burke
Defense News – After decades of service, the guided-missile destroyer Arleigh Burke — the first of its class — appeared likely ready to retire. Commissioned in 1991, the warship may have in recent years started mapping out its shadowbox for when its reaches the end of its expected 35-year service life, in fiscal 2026. But Big Navy has other plans. Naval Surface Force Atlantic announced this week that the Arleigh Burke will continue plying the seas through fiscal 2031, when the ship will be 40 years old.
China expected to prepare for AUKUS nuclear submarine program with underwater buildups
Global Times – US, allies build up underwater encirclement against China, ramping up tensions.
Naval chief says rising cost spurred amphib production pause
Defense News – The U.S. Navy says the rising cost of the San Antonio-class amphibious warship program is justifying the service’s decision to indefinitely pause the program.
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